Long reads.
Essays that needed more space. These are the pieces that refused to be shorter without losing something essential.
Featured · No. 46 · ai
Vibe Coding and Agentic Engineering Are Not the Same Job
For a year the code came back broken. Then it came back clean. The floor opened for everyone, and a quieter job appeared: keeping the bar while the machine moves fast.




































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Essays, by post.
A small, irregular publication. Sent when the essay is finished and not before.
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Long reads.
Essays that needed more space. These are the pieces that refused to be shorter without losing something essential.
37 essays
ai · The lead
Vibe Coding and Agentic Engineering Are Not the Same Job
For a year the code came back broken. Then it came back clean. The floor opened for everyone, and a quieter job appeared: keeping the bar while the machine moves fast.
ai
The Smooth Exponential Explains the Whole AI Moment
For years it looks like nothing. Then the curve turns and the whole world feels late. The smooth exponential is the lens that holds the calm and the urgency at once.
ai
AI Sample Efficiency Is Why Humans Still Learn Faster
ai
Agentic Engineering: Who Holds the Quality Bar When Agents Write the Code
ai
Physical AI Trains Robots in a Simulated World First
ai
What Should Your Kid Learn When AI Does the Heavy Lifting?
ai
Deep-Tech AI: Why Wrappers Lose When AGI Arrives in Year Five
From the notebook
"A single program folded 200 million proteins in about a year. The same work, one doctoral student at a time, would have taken a billion years. The bottleneck has moved from intelligence to direction."
ai
The AI Public Awareness Gap Is Becoming the Real Story
ai
When Will AGI Arrive? The Four-Word Gap on the Way to 2030
personal
On inheriting a name
personal
On reading what I cannot finish
personal
A short defense of changing your mind
policy
Transparent Battlefield: The Frozen Front and the Lost Inventory
ai
AI Cost Per Token: Why GPU Hour Is the Wrong Bill
news
Will AI Take My Job? Three Questions That Tell You How Long
news
How to Read AI News: Three Layers, One Sentence Skipped
policy
Open Weights AI: Distribution Decides Whose Values Win
news
Venture Capital and AI: Sized for Fifteen Winners a Year
aging
The Work AI Cannot Replace: My Mother and Higher-Value Care
policy
AI Agent Governance: Treat the Agent Like an Employee
ai
AI Chip Performance: Why Blackwell Delivers 50x, Not 2x
ai
AI Productivity: Five Percent of Your Job, Leveraged 20x
ai
Code Is No Longer a Moat. The New AI Moats Are Elsewhere.
ai
How AI Chips Work: The Pause Is Where the Work Lives
policy
AI Safety Is Not What They Say. It Is What They Gave Up.
news
AI Hype vs Reality: Four Tells in Every Announcement
ai
AI Orchestration: The Blind Spot Is Not the Model
aging
Abundance and Unrest Hit the Middle of the Labor Market
ai
The Roman Legion Is the Wrong Shape for Your Company
personal
What revision actually is
personal
The other twenty years
ai
What the machine cannot say
ai
The model that knew too much
ai
How i make the images
aging
What my mother did not teach me
personal
The voice i was avoiding